Description of the cummulative incidence of COVID-19 in the 10 cities of mexico with most accumulated cases after 120 days of the first confirmed case

Abstract

Abstract Background: The COVID-19 is potentially severe acute respiratory infectious disease, increasing day by day. The cumulative incidence of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases is showing similar trends in the globally confirming that, while at a different stage depending on the country, the COVID-19 pandemic has progressed rapidly in all countries. In this study, we evaluate the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 in 10 cities located in all regions of Mexico.

Material and methods: Confirmed COVID-19 cases were obtained from the Government of Mexicos open data portal. A listing of the metropolitan zones with most cases was built.

Results: At the time of the data cut-off point, COVID-19 confirmed cases in the Valle de Mexico metropolitan area are more than 233 000, with a cumulative incidence of 183 cases100 000 habitants. Even though Valle de Mexico has the highest reported number of cases, it is Villahermosa city which has the highest cumulative incidence with 647 cases100 000 habitants.

Conclusions: The estimation of cases through the Sentinel model has shown that, the real extension of the epidemic could be at least 8 times higher that official data; a situation that would place Mexico as one of the most affected countries in Latin America.